Helen's did in 1980. We’ve observed a lot of material that represent recycled volcanic rocks, which were once buried inside of calderas and are now getting recycled. An eruption like this at Yellowstone would be known as a supervolcanic eruption. So that puts it into a realistic timescale. Re: Do you think Yellowstone will erupt in our lifetime? University of Oregon Eugene, Related Awards … Although another catastrophic eruption at Yellowstone is possible, scientists are not convinced that one will ever happen. It is NOT overdue for an eruption Mt. As part of the grant's education component, Bindeman is training graduate and undergraduate students using lab-based learning, summer research programs for undergraduates and community college students, and through new courses. Not likely, scientists say. Despite re-melting, the zircon crystals have retained their isotope signatures, enabling the scientists to date their cores and rims, and look into the history of the magma assembly. If it happens again, and he says most scientists think that it will, he predicts such an eruption will obliterate the surroundings within a radius of hundreds of kilometers, and cover the rest of the United States and Canada with multiple inches of ash. The chances of an eruption occurring in our lifetime is extremely small. A more likely explosion at Yellowstone would be a hydrothermal eruption. It is NOT overdue for an eruption Mt. To convey the power of the last Yellowstone eruption, and quite possibly the next one, Bindeman cites two recent examples for comparison purposes: The 1980 eruption of Mt. Calderas first form due to the hot spot’s interaction with the North American plate, forming new magma after about a two-million-year delay. Ilya Bindeman, an associate professor of geological sciences at the University of Oregon, believes this is true of the Yellowstone supervolcano and the likelihood that it will produce an apocalyptic eruption as it has three times over the last the last 2 million years. It … It's not going to be overdue for close to 90,000 years. I would not be surprised if it erupts again because it is formed by a continuous flow of hot rocks at depth (mantle plume) that seems to be active. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, A supervolcano is a volcano that at one point in time erupted more than 1,000 cubic kilometers of deposits. By comparing Yellowstone to previous completed caldera cycles, “we can detect that the Yellowstone hot spot is re-using the already erupted and buried material, rather than producing just new magma, ” he says. However, the National Science Foundation (NSF)-funded scientist doesn't think it's going to happen anytime soon--at least not for another 1 million to 2 million years. As with many things in nature, it helps to understand the past when trying to predict the future. Bindeman explained that the likelihood of a gigantic, destructive eruption in our lifetime, however, is slim. In fact, it is degassing at a fairly reasonable and gentle rate, even though the super-caldera is rising a tad. The least of these eruptions was … “Sometimes it erupts quietly with lava flow, but once or twice every million years, it erupts very violently, forming large calderas,” which are very large craters measuring tens of kilometers in diameter. By comparing Yellowstone to previous completed caldera cycles, "we can detect that the Yellowstone hot spot is re-using the already erupted and buried material, rather than producing just new magma, " he says. The last one took place around 640,000 years ago. Yellowstone supervolcano is not gearing up to an eruption - but you wouldn't believe that if you typed "Yellowstone" into Google, Facebook or Twitter's search bar. Will the Yellowstone supervolcano erupt in our lifetime? If it happens again, and he says most scientists think that it will, he predicts such an eruption will obliterate the surroundings within a radius of hundreds of kilometers, and cover the rest of the United States and Canada with multiple inches of ash. No one really knows, all we can do is speculate and we'll know if it goes off, but likely not when it will. "Our research of the pattern of such volcanism in two older, 'complete' caldera clusters in the wake of Yellowstone allows a prognosis that Yellowstone is on a dying cycle, rather than on a ramping up cycle," he says. When will it erupt again? Out of the 134 earthquakes recorded by the USGS, the strongest measured 1.9 in the Richter scale. Yellowstone doesn't work that way," writes Michael Poland, Scientist-in-Charge of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory, in a new blog post for the U.S. Geological Survey. The results of those studies enabled them to determine the current state of the supervolcano, and predict that a new catastrophic caldera-forming eruption likely will happen only in 1 million to 2 million years, probably in Montana. They analyze oxygen isotope ratios in quartz and zircon, and water- and heat-resistant minerals, from volcanic rocks. 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